Predicting Effects of Modifying Species Parameters in an Allometric Trophic Network Model


Justina Cotter

Oral Defence Date: 

Wednesday, May 13, 2015 - 10:30


TH 434


Committee: Profs. Ilmi Yoon, Hui Yang and Kaz Okada


The goal of modeling ecosystems is to find a tool that can be used to predict ecosystem behavior over time. The Allometric Trophic Network (ATN) model is designed to model the effects of feeding behavior in ecosystems. A major barrier to using such models is that it is hard to determine correct parameter values for specific ecosystems. We explored the use of gamification to address this problem. We developed a game that uses players’ visual reasoning to select prospective parameter values. Additionally, classification was used to analyze the effects of various parameter changes. Predictive visual features were identified that can be incorporated into the game as player recommendations. In particular, species’ average biomass was found to respond in predictable ways to changes involving its own, predator, and prey parameters. These features may help players make more informed parameter changes.

Justina Cotter

Gamification, Science Discovery Games, Population Dynamics, Model Fitting, Prediction